AEGiS-UPI: Dip expected in new S.F. AIDS cases United Press InternationalImportant note: Information in this article was accurate in 1997. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.
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Dip expected in new S.F. AIDS cases

United Press International; Thursday December 4, 1997 - 1:16 PM EST


SAN FRANCISCO, Dec. 4 (UPI) _ A study by researchers at the San Francisco Department of Public Health predicts the number of new AIDS cases in the city will drop to about 1,200 in 1998 from a high of more than 3,300 in 1992.

Researchers say new drug therapies have helped reduce the incidence of AIDS, but the numbers are expected to decrease only among gay and bixexual men and injecting drug users.

The study predicts the incidence of AIDS will increase slightly between 1993 and 1998 among women, heterosexual injection drug users, and people in other high-risk groups.

Rearchers say the high rates of new HIV infections among some populations, particularly gay and bisexual men and high-risk youth, could cause a resurgence of the overall epidemic.

Dr. Mitchell Katz, one of the study's authors, says that while there has been a decline in the number of new AIDS cases, the number of people living with AIDS in San Francisco has increased.

Katz says, "With more people living with AIDS, we will need to maintain our array of community services and some costs _ such as those for drug therapy and outpatient medical care _ will actually increase, rather than decrease."

The University of California at San Francisco Aids Research Institute opened on Monday to coincide with World AIDS Day.

Researchers say it is the largest AIDS research institute outside the National Institutes of Health, bringing together 1,000 researchers.


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