AEGiS-UPI: AIDS estimates often too high, survey reports United Press InternationalImportant note: Information in this article was accurate in 1990. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.
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AIDS estimates often too high, survey reports

United Press International - Saturday, May 12, 1990


DALLAS - The first extensive AIDS-virus field study indicates the deadly virus may be far less common than previously estimated in some communities, federal health officials reported Friday.

"We have a much clearer picture of AIDS," said Dr. Jacob Gayle, special assistant to the HIV survey programs with the Centers for Disease Control. "We certainly recognize the weaknesses of extrapolating national figures on a specific locale. Dallas confirms our lower back-estimates of HIV incidence."

Based on trends in reported AIDS cases, Dallas County was projected to have between 5,600 and 16,000 adults infected with human immunodeficiency virus, or HIV, the virus that causes AIDS. The field survey instead projected between 4,000 and 7,500 cases.

"We're happy for the lower figures," said Dr. Charles Haley, county epidemiologist. "But we stress that these numbers represent real people. While 4,000 is less than 16,000, it still is a lot of people and still overwhelms our health service system."

The survey was designed to test the reliability of a planned $5 million canvass nationwide to check for the actual incidence of the AIDS virus.


Keywords: aids; statisticKWDaids;statistic
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