AEGiS-SAPA: Aids to Slash 12-M Off SA Population Growth: Unisa Research South African Press AssociationImportant note: Information in this article was accurate in 2003. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.
Click here to return to Associated Press main menu
DonateNow


Aids to Slash 12-M Off SA Population Growth: Unisa Research

South African Press Association (Johannesburg) - January 20, 2003


In the absence of HIV/Aids, South Africa's population would have totalled 61-million by 2015, but due to the effects of the virus it was now expected to grow to about 49-million by that time, the University of South Africa's Bureau of Market Research (BMR) said on Monday.

In five years' time, HIV prevalence would average between 25 and 30 percent, according to the findings of a study by the BMR's Prof Carel van Aardt.

About 40 percent of adult deaths in 2000/1 were Aids-related, compared to nine percent in 1995/6, he said.

Van Aardt estimated that in the age group 15 to 49 years, about 500000 people in Gauteng and 350000 in KwaZulu-Natal would have died due to Aids-related diseases by 2006.

The virus would also have a significant effect on life expectancy, he said. Van Aardt projected that due to HIV/Aids, life expectancy at birth by 2010 would be 33 years in KwaZulu-Natal and 34 years in Mpumalanga.


030120
SA030107


Copyright © 2003 - South African Press Association. Reproduction of this article (other than one copy for personal reference) must be cleared through the South African Press Association, Cotswold House, Greenacres Office Park, Cnr. Victory & Rustenburg Roads, VICTORY PARK, PO BOX 7766, JOHANNESBURG, 2000; Fax No: +27 11 782-1587/8, Tel No: +27 11 782-1600.

AEGiS is a 501(c)3, not-for-profit, tax-exempt, educational corporation. AEGiS is made possible through unrestricted funding from Broadway Cares/Equity Fights AIDS, Elton John AIDS Foundation, National Library of Medicine, and donations from users like you.

Always watch for outdated information. This article first appeared in 2003. This material is designed to support, not replace, the relationship that exists between you and your doctor.

AEGiS presents published material, reprinted with permission and neither endorses nor opposes any material. All information contained on this website, including information relating to health conditions, products, and treatments, is for informational purposes only. It is often presented in summary or aggregate form. It is not meant to be a substitute for the advice provided by your own physician or other medical professionals. Always discuss treatment options with a doctor who specializes in treating HIV.

Copyright ©1980, 2003. AEGiS. All materials appearing on AEGiS are protected by copyright as a collective work or compilation under U.S. copyright and other laws and are the property of AEGiS, or the party credited as the provider of the content. .