WORLD AIDS DAY: How Many Millions More Will Die? Inter Press Service
click here to return to Inter Press Service main menu
DonateNow


WORLD AIDS DAY: How Many Millions More Will Die?

Inter Press Service - December 1, 2005
Haider Rizvi


UNITED NATIONS, Dec 1 (IPS) - Millions of people living with HIV/AIDS in poor parts of the world could lose their lives in the next few years if governments fail to keep their promises to fight the deadly pandemic, warn U.N. officials and health advocacy groups.

In the absence of treatment, as many as 74 million people could die from HIV/AIDS-related causes by 2015, according to the Geneva-based International Labour Organisation (ILO), which notes that young workers are the ones who are most at risk.

Though acknowledging that the international community has made some progress in the past few years, U.N. officials and independent groups say governments must do more to combat HIV/AIDS.

"The world has made considerable promises," said U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan on the eve of World AIDS Day Thursday. "The time has come to keep them."

There are more than 40 million people living with HIV/AIDS today, according to the United Nations. The disease has already claimed some 25 million lives.

Though HIV/AIDS cases have been reported in all parts of the world, studies show that most people living with the disease reside in low-and-middle incomes countries, where most new HIV infections and deaths are occurring. Among them, sub-Saharan Africa has been hardest-hit, and is home to nearly 26 million people living with HIV/AIDS.

In South and Southeast Asia, there are more than seven million people suffering from HIV/AIDS. In Latin America, the number of AIDS patients is estimated to be around two million, and almost the same number of people are infected in Eastern Europe and Central Asia.

Research shows that in developing countries, it is working class people who are disproportionately threatened by death from HIV/AIDS.

"Nearly 90 percent of AIDS-related fatalities occur among people of working age, making it the leading cause of death worldwide for people between the age of 15 and 49," according to the Worldwatch Institute, an independent think-tank based in Washington.

The group estimates that due to HIV/AIDS, Africa loses at least 10 percent of its working age adults every five years. By contrast, industrial countries lose about one percent of this age group to all deaths in the same period of time.

Last September, while attending a major U.N. summit on development, world leaders pledged to implement the Declaration of Commitments they had adopted in 2001, by intensifying efforts for prevention, treatment, care and support.

But those campaigning for international action against AIDS doubt if governments will take their promises seriously.

"We have been asked to stomach year after year of rhetorical statements disguised as commitments on AIDS," says Marcel Van Soest, executive director of the World AIDS Campaign based in Europe.

"The litany of broken promises now rings hollow against unrelenting advance of the epidemic throughout the world," he adds.

In a new report titled "Promises, Promises...But How Many Get Delivered," the group notes that many declarations on AIDS have been seen as "commitments and promises", but simply restate the current understanding of the epidemic and avoid committing to concrete deliveries.

Halting and reversing HIV/AIDS by 2015 is also one of the Millennium Development Goals world leaders had agreed on at a major U.N. summit held in New York in 2000. Among others, these goals are targeted to reduce poverty by half, ensure primary education for girls, and provide clean drinking water.

"Halting the spread of AIDS is not a Millennium Development Goal in itself, it is a prerequisite for reaching most of others," Annan said in urging governments to speed up their efforts in the fight against the pandemic.

Studies suggest that among young people living with HIV/AIDS between the age of 15 and 24, women outnumber men. According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, gender inequalities in social and economic status and in access to prevention and care services are increasing women's vulnerability to HIV/AIDS.

Researchers say the epidemic has multiple effects on women, such as added responsibilities of caring for sick family members, loss of income and property if they become widows, and even violence when their HIV status is discovered.

In their messages on World AIDS Day, various U.N. agencies, including UNICEF and the World Health Organisation (WHO), tried to draw the world's attention to the suffering of millions of women living with HIV-AIDS, especially those who are pregnant.

UNICEF says the number of children who become HIV-positive every year could be more than halved if pregnant women with HIV received comprehensive services, including anti-retroviral drugs.

Currently, more than 600,000 children are estimated to become infected with HIV each year, more than 80 percent of them because they are born to mothers infected with the virus.

"Hundreds of thousands of children are needlessly born with HIV every year, and many of them die in the first year of life," said UNICEF executive director Ann Veneman.

Veneman thinks that the number of children with HIV could be "dramatically" reduced by providing essential services to their mothers. That requires additional funding as well as practical action on promises made by government leaders in the recent past.

International funding to fight AIDS has increased significantly in recent years -- from 300 million dollars in 1995 to eight billion dollars in 2005. However, it remains to be seen how effectively governments implement the pledges made in the 2001 Declaration.

According to UNAIDS, prevention efforts are reaching fewer than 20 percent of those in need. And critics like Health GAP complain that U.S.-initiatives in particular refuse to deliver comprehensive, scientifically-based prevention messages and instead preach abstinence and faithfulness only -- in societies where 50 percent of youth are sexually active and marriage carries an even greater risk of infection than being single.

"Failing on treatment is bad enough, but for the U.S. government to fuel the pandemic with evangelic messages that ignore women's vulnerability and the realities of human sexuality is criminal," Sharonann Lynch of Health GAP said in a statement Thursday.

"The U.S. has created an artificial condom shortage in Uganda; it refuses to fund comprehensive sex education for youth; and it gags comprehensive family planning services and simultaneously undermines efforts to work with sex workers by requiring an anti-prostitution oath by service providers," she said.

*****

+WORLD AIDS DAY: Food on the Table Helps "Keep the Promise" in Kenya (http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31256)

+HEALTH-BRAZIL: Well on the Way to Eliminating Maternal Transmission of HIV (http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31243)

+HEALTH-JAPAN: HIV Breeds on Complacent Attitudes Among Youth (http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31235)

+HEALTH: AIDS Rises with Carelessness in Western Europe (http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31228)

+HEALTH-INDIA: HIV/AIDS Is About Wanting to Live, Say Locals (http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31137)


051201
IP051201


Copyright © 2005 - Inter Press Service. All rights reserved. Reproduced with permission. Reproduction of this article (other than one copy for personal reference) must be cleared through the Inter Press Service, IPS-ONLINE, World Desk via Panisperna 207 00184 Rome, Italy. Email: info@ips.org  http://www.ips.org

AEGiS is a 501(c)3, not-for-profit, tax-exempt, educational corporation. AEGiS is made possible through unrestricted funding from Broadway Cares/Equity Fights AIDS, Elton John AIDS Foundation, the National Library of Medicine, Pacific Life Foundation and donations from users like you.

Always watch for outdated information. This article first appeared in 2005. This material is designed to support, not replace, the relationship that exists between you and your doctor.

AEGiS presents published material, reprinted with permission and neither endorses nor opposes any material. All information contained on this website, including information relating to health conditions, products, and treatments, is for informational purposes only. It is often presented in summary or aggregate form. It is not meant to be a substitute for the advice provided by your own physician or other medical professionals. Always discuss treatment options with a doctor who specializes in treating HIV.

Copyright ©1980, 2005. AEGiS. All materials appearing on AEGiS are protected by copyright as a collective work or compilation under U.S. copyright and other laws and are the property of AEGiS, or the party credited as the provider of the content. .