AEGiS-Chicago Tribune: Report: HIV rates soaring in 5 nations

Important note: Information in this article was accurate in 2002. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.

Report: HIV rates soaring in 5 nations

Chicago Tribune - October 2, 2002

WORLD -- Rates of infection from the AIDS virus in five of the world's most populous countries are rising so fast that they pose potential security threats to their regions and to the United States, according to a group that advises the CIA.

China, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria and Russia comprise 40 percent of the world's population and by 2010 will have more HIV-infected people than any other five countries, a National Intelligence Council official said Monday in Langley, Va.

By 2010, the number of infected people in these countries will grow to an estimated 50 million to 75 million from the current estimate of 14 million to 23 million, according to the council, an advisory group to the director of the CIA composed of individuals from the government, academia and the private sector.

HIV would spark tensions over spending priorities, driving up health-care costs and sharpening military manpower shortages, said David Gordon, a CIA official and the report's author.

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