Analysis of a risk-based model for the growth of AIDS infection. NLM AIDSLINE Important note: Information in this article was accurate in 1992. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.

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Analysis of a risk-based model for the growth of AIDS infection.

Math Biosci. 1991 Sep;106(1):129-50. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE MED/92199690
De Young G; Maini PK; Nakamaye M; Institute of Theoretical Dynamics, University of California,; Davis 95616.


Abstract: Several models for the spread of AIDS within a homosexual community have been proposed that incorporate biased mixing of different risk groups. A simple model is presented that captures many of the features of these more complex models. Analytical expressions are derived for the time to the state of maximum infection (SMI) in a particular risk group, the proportion infected at SMI, and the number of infected individuals as the group approaches SMI. These results agree qualitatively with numerical simulations of the model.
Keywords: Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*EPIDEMIOLOGY/TRANSMISSION Homosexuality Human Male Mathematics *Models, Statistical Risk Factors Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S. Time Factors JOURNAL ARTICLEKWDacquiredimmunodeficiencysyndrome/KWDepidemiology/transmissionhomosexualityhumanmalemathematicsKWDmodels,statisticalriskfactorssupport,non-uKWDsKWDgov'tsupport,uKWDsKWDgov't,non-pKWDhKWDsKWDsupport,uKWDsKWDgov't,pKWDhKWDsKWDtimefactorsjournalarticle
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M9271066

Copyright © 1992 - National Library of Medicine. Reproduced under license with the National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD.

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