NATURAL HISTORY OF HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION AND KEY PREDICTORS OF HIV DISEASE PROGRESSION NLM AIDSLINE Important note: Information in this article was accurate in 1990. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.

Click here to return to AIDSLINE main menu
DonateNow
Print this Article


NATURAL HISTORY OF HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION AND KEY PREDICTORS OF HIV DISEASE PROGRESSION

AIDS Clinical Review 1989. Volberding P and Jacobson MA, eds. New York, Marcel Dekker, p. 69-93, 1989.. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE ICDB/90659411
Hessol NA; Lifson AR; Rutherford GW; AIDS Office, San Francisco Dept. of Public Health, San Francisco,; CA


Abstract: Although tremendous strides have been made in understanding the natural history of HIV infection and predictors of disease progression, there are still many scientific issues that need better resolution. The epidemiology and natural history studies of HIV infection in homosexual and bisexual men, iv drug users, and blood and blood product recipients are examined. Answers to the following questions are discussed: (1) Is the incubation period between infection and diagnosis with AIDS the same in all transmission risk groups? (2) How can laboratory or clinical predictors of disease progression be used to treat and counsel people who are infected but have not developed AIDS? (3) Are there any proven cofactors for disease progression that can be avoided through behavior modification? (4) Will all those infected with HIV eventually develop AIDS? (5) What effect will antiviral therapies and vaccines have on the natural history of HIV infection? Seroconversion to HIV infection does not occur simultaneously in all transmission groups. Understanding of subclinical and clinical markers of disease progression is still in the developmental stage, and it is not clear how to interpret them on an individual basis in terms of treatment or counseling. Individuals infected with HIV have been advised to modify certain behaviors (ie, eliminate exposure to other viruses, maintain good nutrition, rest, take certain vitamins, avoid drugs and alcohol) to reduce the risk of disease progression, but the only cofactor consistently associated with disease progression is duration of infection. It is still not possible to say whether everyone infected with HIV will develop AIDS; however, several mathematical models predict 100% development over many years of infection and without treatment. Ultimately, antiviral therapy and possibly vaccines may significantly alter the natural history of HIV infection. Until then, education and risk reduction are the primary public health weapons for combating this epidemic. (139 Refs)
Keywords: Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/MICROBIOLOGY Bisexuality Blood Transfusion Cross-Sectional Studies Female Homosexuality Human HIV/*PATHOGENICITY HIV Infections/DIAGNOSIS/EPIDEMIOLOGY/*MICROBIOLOGY/TRANSMISSION Incidence Infant, Newborn Male Maternal-Fetal Exchange Pregnancy Risk Factors Substance Abuse, Intravenous/COMPLICATIONS Virus Activation MONOGRAPH REVIEW REVIEW, TUTORIALKWDacquiredimmunodeficiencysyndrome/microbiologybisexualitybloodtransfusioncross-sectionalstudiesfemalehomosexualityhumanhiv/KWDpathogenicityhivinfections/diagnosis/epidemiology/KWDmicrobiology/transmissionincidenceinfant,newbornmalematernal-fetalexchangepregnancyriskfactorssubstanceabuse,intravenous/complicationsvirusactivationmonographreviewreview,tutorial
900430
M9040676

Copyright © 1990 - National Library of Medicine. Reproduced under license with the National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD.

AEGiS is a 501(c)3, not-for-profit, tax-exempt, educational corporation. AEGiS is made possible through unrestricted funding from Boehringer Ingelheim, Bridgestone/Firestone Charitable Trust, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company, Elton John AIDS Foundation, Gill Foundation, the National Library of Medicine, Quest Diagnostics, Roche and Trimeris, and donations from users like you. Always watch for outdated information. This article first appeared in 1990. This material is designed to support, not replace, the relationship that exists between you and your doctor.

AEGiS presents published material, reprinted with permission and neither endorses nor opposes any material. All information contained on this website, including information relating to health conditions, products, and treatments, is for informational purposes only. It is often presented in summary or aggregate form. It is not meant to be a substitute for the advice provided by your own physician or other medical professionals. Always discuss treatment options with a doctor who specializes in treating HIV.

Copyright ©1980, 1990. AEGiS. All materials appearing on AEGiS are protected by copyright as a collective work or compilation under U.S. copyright and other laws and are the property of AEGiS, or the party credited as the provider of the content. .