On the mean incubation time of AIDS infections. NLM AIDSLINE Important note: Information in this article was accurate in 1988. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.

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On the mean incubation time of AIDS infections.

Infection. 1987 Nov-Dec;15(6):413-6. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE MED/88138479
Weyer J; Mathematics Institute, University of Cologne.

Abstract: Using a nonlinear curve fitting method we calculate the incidence of AIDS cases through a study of reported data on cumulative AIDS cases. The method allows one to estimate the expected value of the incubation time, which happens to be about 11 years, if the intervals of observation are sufficiently large (greater than or equal to 45 years). For smaller intervals of observation the mean observed incubation time will be much shorter in consequence of the overrepresentation of quick runners. The model predicts a mean observed incubation time of 5.3 years for an infected cohort in the first seven years after infection.
Keywords: Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*EPIDEMIOLOGY Germany, West Human Mathematics Time Factors JOURNAL ARTICLE

KWDacquiredimmunodeficiencysyndrome/KWDepidemiologygermany,westhumanmathematicstimefactorsjournalarticle
880630
M8860490

Copyright © 1988 - National Library of Medicine. Reproduced under license with the National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD.

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