[Deliberations and computer computations on the epidemiology of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome in the Federal Republic of Germany] NLM AIDSLINE Important note: Information in this article was accurate in 1987. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date.

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[Deliberations and computer computations on the epidemiology of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome in the Federal Republic of Germany]

Infection. 1986 Sep-Oct;14(5):217-22. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE MED/87082306
Kiessling D; Stannat S; Schedel I; Deicher H


Abstract: A computer simulation of the morbidity and mortality rates of the Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome in the Federal Republic of Germany was performed. Since sexual intercourse is the main mode of transmission, the population was divided into six groups with different sexual behaviour. In several variations of the program it is demonstrated that during the next 15 years up to 41,000 AIDS patients can be expected. The importance of female prostitutes and male bisexuals as vectors who may transmit the infection into exclusively heterosexual groups is shown. Using this program, the effect of prophylaxis against infection as well as of changes of sexual behaviour within the population at large can also be examined.
Keywords: Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*EPIDEMIOLOGY/MORTALITY/ TRANSMISSION Computers English Abstract Female Germany, West Homosexuality Human Male Retrospective Studies Sex Behavior JOURNAL ARTICLE

KWDacquiredimmunodeficiencysyndrome/KWDepidemiology/mortality/transmissioncomputersenglishabstractfemalegermany,westhomosexualityhumanmaleretrospectivestudiessexbehaviorjournalarticle
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M8740246


Copyright © 1987 - National Library of Medicine. Reproduced under license with the National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD.

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